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NarrativeRadar is a decision-support intelligence tool. It is not a news outlet, fact-checker, or investment advisor.

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USD/IRR | NarrativeRadar

Dashboard
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/USD/IRR

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USD/IRR

instrument

50 events

Exposure Timeline

How this instrument appears across events — direction reflects narrative framing, not market outcome.

↕ Increased Volatility28

• Uncertain15

↓ Downward Pressure2

↑ Upward Pressure5

Trump Sends Tougher Iran Deal Terms Back to Tehran

USD/IRRShifts between a possible deal and a breakdown of talks can swing expectations for sanctions and oil exports, jolting the Iranian rial against the dollar.

US and Iran Near Nuclear Deal Despite Unresolved Issues

USD/IRRIf a deal eases sanctions the rial could strengthen, but if talks fail and US strikes resume, fresh sanctions and war risk could weaken it further against the dollar.

US and Iran Agree on 60-Day Proposal Amid Ongoing Talks

USD/IRRIf billions in frozen assets are released to Tehran under the draft deal, extra hard currency would likely strengthen the rial against the dollar on official and informal markets.

Iran Shoots Down US Drone in Bushehr Province

USD/IRRIf the reported shootdowns either derail or accelerate Iran–US peace talks, expectations over future sanctions will shift, pulling the rial in different directions against the dollar.

Iran Rejects Western Ultimatums Amid Calls for War Resolution

USD/IRRIf talks swing between possible sanctions relief and threats of military action, the Iranian rial is likely to lurch against the dollar as locals react to each headline.

White House: Trump Insists on Deal Meeting US Red Lines

USD/IRRShifting signals on US red lines and sanctions relief make Iran’s rial swing sharply against the dollar as traders react to each sign of progress or breakdown.

Iranian Forces Fire Warning Shots Near Strait of Hormuz

USD/IRRIf Iran introduces Hormuz transit tolls or faces new sanctions over shipping, expectations for its export revenues and restrictions on trade could swing the rial’s unofficial rate against the dollar.

US Signals No Sanctions Relief Before Hormuz Reopens and Uranium Surrendered

USD/IRRShifting expectations over sanctions relief tied to Hormuz and uranium surrender cause sharp swings in the Iranian rial’s unofficial exchange rate against the dollar.

US Sanctions Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority Amid Rising Tensions

USD/IRRTighter US sanctions on Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority and airline landing rights would further limit Iran’s hard-currency earnings, likely weakening the rial against the dollar on parallel markets.

Kazakhstan Offers to Store Iran’s Enriched Uranium in Nuclear Deal

USD/IRRIf sanctions relief is agreed but political risk stays high, the Iranian rial could strengthen on better trade prospects yet remain unstable against the dollar.

US Strikes Commercial Ship Trying to Enter Iranian Port Amid Blockade

USD/IRRIf Iran’s oil and goods exports fall because ships avoid its ports, lower foreign currency earnings could weaken the rial against the dollar.

Tehran Prioritizes Ending Hostilities with USA Amid Ongoing Talks

USD/IRRIf Trump rejects an Iran deal and war risk rises, sanctions and capital flight pressures would likely weaken the rial further against the US dollar.

Iran Signals Major Changes to Hormuz Passage Operations After Conflict

USD/IRRIf US sanctions harden against any Hormuz transit deals with Iran, pressure on Iran’s export revenues could cause sharper swings in the rial against the dollar.

White House Denies Iranian Media Claims on Peace Memorandum

USD/IRRIf the memorandum brings real sanctions relief and more foreign currency inflows, the Iranian rial could strengthen against the dollar, pushing USD/IRR lower on unofficial markets.

Tehran Urges Baghdad to Prevent Threats via Iraqi Airspace

USD/IRRIf Iran receives about $12 billion in frozen assets but faces continued US pressure on its nuclear program, the rial could strengthen from new hard currency inflows yet remain under strain from sanctions risk.

Trump to Hold Rare Cabinet Meeting at Camp David

USD/IRRIf US sanctions stay tight and remittance channels from Asia remain blocked, demand for hard currency inside Iran will stay high, pushing the dollar higher against the rial on parallel markets.

Rubio Faces Congress Amid Scrutiny of Iran War Policies

USD/IRRUncertainty over US-Iran relations affects the Iranian rial's value against the US dollar.

Iran Pursues Release of $24bn Frozen Abroad in Talks with US

USD/IRRAny release of up to $24 billion in frozen funds and possible sanctions easing would normally support the rial, but ongoing war risk and capital controls make the net effect on the USD/IRR rate hard to predict.

Iran Downs US MQ-9 Drone, Warns of Retaliation Over Persian Gulf

USD/IRRIf Iran faces further US military pressure after the claimed drone downing and Kuwait strike, fears of new sanctions or conflict could weaken the rial against the dollar on offshore markets.

Trump Negotiates Legacy Amid New US-Iran Understanding

USD/IRRAny clear Trump decision on the deal, whether approval or rejection, could swing expectations on sanctions and cause sharp moves in the Iranian rial against the US dollar.

Direction Changes

Instances where narrative framing shifted between enrichment cycles.

White House Denies Iranian Media Claims on Peace Memorandum

Uncertain→Downward Pressure

White House: Trump Insists on Deal Meeting US Red Lines

Upward Pressure→Increased Volatility

Iran Rejects Western Ultimatums Amid Calls for War Resolution

Uncertain→Increased Volatility

Related Events

Trump Sends Tougher Iran Deal Terms Back to Tehran

9 sources·5 blocks·0 articles

Trump Sends Tougher Iran Deal Terms Back to Tehran

Upward Pressure→Increased Volatility

Iran Rejects Western Ultimatums Amid Calls for War Resolution

Increased Volatility→Uncertain

US and Iran Agree on 60-Day Proposal Amid Ongoing Talks

Increased Volatility→Downward Pressure

White House: Trump Insists on Deal Meeting US Red Lines

Increased Volatility→Upward Pressure

Trump to Hold Rare Cabinet Meeting at Camp David

Increased Volatility→Upward Pressure

US Signals No Sanctions Relief Before Hormuz Reopens and Uranium Surrendered

Uncertain→Increased Volatility

Tehran Urges Baghdad to Prevent Threats via Iraqi Airspace

Increased Volatility→Uncertain

Iran Pursues Release of $24bn Frozen Abroad in Talks with US

Downward Pressure→Uncertain

Trump Urges Mandatory Abraham Accords Compliance in Iran Ceasefire Talks

Uncertain→Increased Volatility

Iranian Officials Visit Qatar for Talks to End War

Uncertain→Increased Volatility

Trump to Hold Rare Cabinet Meeting at Camp David

Upward Pressure→Increased Volatility

Iran Pursues Release of $24bn Frozen Abroad in Talks with US

Uncertain→Downward Pressure

Former US Envoy Warns Escalation Worse Than Middle East Deal

Increased Volatility→Uncertain

Trump urges destruction of Iranian enriched uranium abroad

Increased Volatility→Uncertain

Iran Pursues Release of $24bn Frozen Abroad in Talks with US

Downward Pressure→Uncertain

Pro-Israeli Republicans Oppose Iran Deal Amid Trump Talks

Increased Volatility→Uncertain

Iranian Officials Visit Qatar for Talks to End War

Increased Volatility→Uncertain

US and Iran Near Nuclear Deal Despite Unresolved Issues

OngoingGlobal

31 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

US and Iran Agree on 60-Day Proposal Amid Ongoing Talks

9 sources·5 blocks·0 articles

Iran Shoots Down US Drone in Bushehr Province

12 sources·3 blocks·0 articles

Iran Rejects Western Ultimatums Amid Calls for War Resolution

13 sources·5 blocks·0 articles

White House: Trump Insists on Deal Meeting US Red Lines

7 sources·4 blocks·0 articles

Iranian Forces Fire Warning Shots Near Strait of Hormuz

8 sources·3 blocks·0 articles

US Signals No Sanctions Relief Before Hormuz Reopens and Uranium Surrendered

14 sources·4 blocks·0 articles

US Sanctions Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority Amid Rising Tensions

16 sources·5 blocks·0 articles

Kazakhstan Offers to Store Iran’s Enriched Uranium in Nuclear Deal

7 sources·4 blocks·0 articles

US Strikes Commercial Ship Trying to Enter Iranian Port Amid Blockade

12 sources·4 blocks·0 articles

Tehran Prioritizes Ending Hostilities with USA Amid Ongoing Talks

13 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

Iran Signals Major Changes to Hormuz Passage Operations After Conflict

8 sources·5 blocks·0 articles

White House Denies Iranian Media Claims on Peace Memorandum

7 sources·3 blocks·0 articles

Tehran Urges Baghdad to Prevent Threats via Iraqi Airspace

14 sources·5 blocks·0 articles

Trump to Hold Rare Cabinet Meeting at Camp David

12 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Rubio Faces Congress Amid Scrutiny of Iran War Policies

3 sources·3 blocks·0 articles

Iran Pursues Release of $24bn Frozen Abroad in Talks with US

19 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

Iran Downs US MQ-9 Drone, Warns of Retaliation Over Persian Gulf

16 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

Trump Negotiates Legacy Amid New US-Iran Understanding

9 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

US Hits Iranian Boats and Launchers During Gaza Ceasefire

27 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Iranian Officials Visit Qatar for Talks to End War

16 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Explosions Near Bandar Abbas After Rocket Attack Injures Two in Iraq

4 sources·2 blocks·0 articles

Iran Demands Accountability for Deadly February Sports Hall Strike

3 sources·2 blocks·0 articles

Trump Urges Mandatory Abraham Accords Compliance in Iran Ceasefire Talks

10 sources·5 blocks·0 articles

Iran Advances Military Equipment Upgrades Amid Capability Drive

10 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

IRGC Strikes US Air Base After Attack Near Bandar Abbas

5 sources·2 blocks·0 articles

Iran's Supreme Leader Reports Only Superficial Wounds After U.S.-Israel Strike

3 sources·3 blocks·0 articles

Iran Maintains US Mistrust Amid Ongoing Nuclear Talks

27 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Trump urges destruction of Iranian enriched uranium abroad

9 sources·5 blocks·0 articles

Iran Denies Plans to Export Enriched Uranium to China

7 sources·3 blocks·0 articles

Rubio Blames Iran Fully as Proposal for Talks Remains Open

14 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

Former US Envoy Warns Escalation Worse Than Middle East Deal

14 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

US-Iran Agreement Details and Asset Release Linked to Nuclear Deal

24 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Iran Official References Ancient Persia's Victory Over Rome Amid US Standoff

19 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Republican Hawks Criticize Trump's Emerging Iran Deal Amid Israeli Concerns

17 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Iran Criticizes US Over ‘Excessive Demands’ Amid Nuclear Talks

11 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

US Confirms Ukraine Peace Talks Stall Amid Ongoing Conflict

21 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

UAE Warns of Serious Precedent if Iran Controls Strait of Hormuz

24 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Netanyahu Frustrated by US-Iran Talks Amid Regional Tensions

23 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Iran Reviews US Views Amid Ongoing Diplomatic Talks

12 sources·4 blocks·0 articles

European Parliament Calls for Stronger EU Sanctions on Iran Over Rights Abuses

6 sources·4 blocks·0 articles

Saudi Foreign Minister Calls on Iran to Engage in Talks

14 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

Iran-Backed Plot Targets Ivanka Trump in Assassination Attempt

3 sources·3 blocks·0 articles

Iran War Crushes 'Little Sparta' Ambitions in Middle East

14 sources·7 blocks·0 articles

Khamenei Orders Iran to Keep Enriched Uranium Stockpile Domestically

14 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

Iran Maps US Flight Patterns as Trump Warns of Possible Strikes

15 sources·6 blocks·0 articles

Majority of US Voters Oppose War on Iran, Survey Shows

9 sources·3 blocks·0 articles

Iran Accelerates Military Industrial Rebuild Amid Talks

5 sources·2 blocks·0 articles

US Targets Iran Exchange House and Shadow Fleet Ships

7 sources·4 blocks·0 articles