Brazil's Lula and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro Neck and Neck in Poll
ArchivedGlobal|4 articles|3 sources|3 blocks
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Reported Facts
Observable data points shared across all narratives
- •The Datafolha poll released on May 19 shows Lula ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro in the second-round presidential race.
- •A report surfaced linking Senator Flavio Bolsonaro to a disgraced banker, drawing public and media attention.
- •The previous poll on May 16 indicated a tie between Lula and Bolsonaro in the runoff election.
- •The presidential runoff election in Brazil is scheduled for later in 2026.
- •Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is the former President of Brazil and a leading candidate in the 2026 election.
What Could Happen If...
- ▸If Lula maintains his lead in subsequent polls Lula could win the presidential runoff, leading to a continuation or expansion of his policy agenda affecting Brazil's domestic and international relations.
Market Exposure
StocksIbovespaIncreased Volatility
The tightening presidential race and political uncertainty could lead to increased volatility in Brazil's main stock index.
This is not investment advice. Market exposure is based on conditional event analysis.
Source Coverage
ME
1 articles
FINANCE
1 articles
REGIONAL
2 articles
Signals
Cross-block coverage detectedMultiple blocks covering the same event
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Primary Sources (4)
MEAl Jazeera - AllPoll shows Lula and Bolsonaro tied before Brazil’s presidential electionFINANCEInvesting.com - NewsBrazil’s Lula tied with Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in second-round in Datafolha pollREGIONALThe Straits Times - WorldLula tops Brazil poll after report linking Bolsonaro to disgraced bankerREGIONAL