Ex-Obama Adviser Warns China-US Stability Could End Soon

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Diplomacy Technology Trade

Reported Facts

Observable data points shared across all narratives

•Evan Medeiros served as an Asia adviser during the Obama administration.
•Medeiros made his recent remarks in May 2026.
•Current US-China relations show signs of stability despite underlying tensions.
•Key areas of contention include trade, technology, and regional influence.

What Could Happen If...

▸If the US government adopts tougher trade and technology restrictions on China then tensions could escalate, leading to increased economic disruption and strained diplomatic relations affecting global markets and regional security.

Market Exposure

IndexS&P 500Increased Volatility

Potential US-China tensions could cause uncertainty in global markets, affecting investor confidence and stock prices.

This is not investment advice. Market exposure is based on conditional event analysis.

Key Actors

Countries

🌍People's Republic of China 🌍United States of America

People

👤Barack Obama(Former President of the United States)

Source Coverage

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REGIONALSouth China Morning Post - TopStable US-China ties? It won’t last long, Evan Medeiros says REGIONALSouth China Morning Post - TopChina-US stability may not last, ex-Asia adviser to Obama says

Evan Medeiros, former Asia adviser to President Obama, has stated that the current stable relations between China and the United States are unlikely to last long. This matters because any deterioration in ties between the world's two largest economies could disrupt global security, trade, and technology cooperation. Medeiros' comments come amid ongoing disputes over trade policies, technological competition, and influence in the Asia-Pacific region.