US Q4 GDP Growth Slows to 1.4% Due to Government Shutdown Impact

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Finance Monetary Policy

NarrativeRadar Analysis

Reported Facts

Observable data points shared across all narratives

•US GDP growth rate for Q4 2025 was 1.4% annualized.
•The growth rate was below market and analyst forecasts.
•A government shutdown occurred during the quarter, impacting economic output.
•The slowdown reflects reduced federal spending and operational disruptions.

What Could Happen If...

▸If government shutdowns recur in future quarters US economic growth may continue to face downward pressure, affecting fiscal stability.

Market Exposure

StocksUS stock market indicesIncreased Volatility

Slower GDP growth and shutdown uncertainty may increase market volatility due to growth concerns.

Key Actors

Countries

🌍United States of America

Source Coverage

FINANCE

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Primary Sources (1)

FINANCEBloomberg - MarketsUS Q4 GDP Grows Smaller-Than-Forecast 1.4% on Shutdown Impact

The US economy grew at a 1.4% annualized rate in the fourth quarter of 2025, below forecasts, affected by the recent government shutdown. This slower growth rate signals potential challenges for economic momentum and policy decisions. The government shutdown disrupted federal operations, reducing economic activity during the quarter.